Question
Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
Total Forecasters137
Community Prediction
67%
(54.6% - 80%)
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 29, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 31, 2021
Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?
5%
Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
49%
Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
15%
Authors:
Opened:Jul 29, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 31, 2021
Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?
5%
Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
49%
Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
15%