Question
Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
Total Forecasters91
Community Prediction
99.9%
(97% - 99.9%)
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 29, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2021
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between India and Pakistan before 2027?
13%
Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
26%
Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
12%
Authors:
Opened:Sep 29, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2021
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between India and Pakistan before 2027?
13%
Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
26%
Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
12%