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261 forecasters
Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?
4%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 23, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 24, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
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