Question

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

34
53
Total Forecasters243
Community Prediction
6%
(3% - 10%)

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50%
community: 6%
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Authors:
Charles
Opened:Aug 23, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 24, 2021
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
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