181 forecasters

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

78%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

Sep 16, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 18, 2021