48 comments
182 forecasters
If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?
75%chance
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Sep 16, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 18, 2021
