Question

How many US Jews will move to Israel by 2050?

Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction
117k people
(91k people - 140k people)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<50k5.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%91.04k
median116.7k
upper 75%140.1k
Upper bound
>150k17.8%
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 3, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2052
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 5, 2022