Question

Will >100 offensive nuclear detonations occur by 2024, if there's at least 1 fatality from an offensive detonation by 2024?

Resolved:Annulled
Total Forecasters165
Community Prediction
5%
(1% - 11%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 5%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021