Question
What will be the total size of MacArthur's 2022 and 2023 Nuclear Challenges grants?
Resolved:7.003734Total Forecasters49
Community Prediction
7.21
(6.44 - 8.92)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <5 | 8.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 6.441 | — |
| median | 7.213 | — |
| upper 75% | 8.921 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >35 | 2.0% | — |
What was the final result?7.003734
Community Baseline Score
-57.6
Community Peer Score
87.7
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021