Question
Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters81
Community Prediction
1%
(1% - 2%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
66.7
Community Peer Score
6.2
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021
