Question
Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters133
Community Prediction
4%
(1% - 5%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
0.1
Community Peer Score
17.8
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021