Question

Will the FY21 NDAA-mandated study on environmental effects of nuclear war be publicly available by 2023?

Resolved:No

5 comments5

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction

65%

(59% - 68%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 65%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-65.6

Community Peer Score

-1.3

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Oct 7, 2021

Closes:

Apr 1, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 9, 2021

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