Question
Will the next offensive nuclear detonation(s) be retaliated against, if such a detonation occurs by 2024?
Resolved:AnnulledTotal Forecasters124
Community Prediction
17%
(1% - 27%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Annulled
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021
If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?
Nov 2035
If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?
21.9%
If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?
63%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 9, 2021
If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?
Nov 2035
If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?
21.9%
If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?
63%