84 forecasters

By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Nov 25, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 27, 2022

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