Question

By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters84
Community Prediction
1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
77.4
Community Peer Score
16.6
Opened:Nov 25, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 27, 2022