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US Democracy Index

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What will be the highest price realized by a Christie’s auction for a single NFT in 2030 (in 2021 USD)?

Current estimate

1.83M $

90 comments

104 forecasters

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?

Current estimate

301 months

0 comments

9 forecasters

What percent of exhibitors at Art Basel (in Basel, Switzerland) in 2030 will offer an NFT?

Current estimate

22 comments

430 forecasters

Will bitcoin reach $200k in 2025?

1%chance

14 comments

29 forecasters

When will Ethereum be able to do 1,000 transactions per second?

Current estimate

26 Dec 2027

73 comments

83 forecasters

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Sam Bankman-Friedresult: Yes

Caroline Ellisonresult: Yes

Gary Wangresult: Yes

29 comments

47 forecasters

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?

Current estimate

301 months

28 comments

119 forecasters

Will Bitcoin move away from proof-of-work before 2035?

5%chance

7 comments

47 forecasters

What will be the highest price of Bitcoin in 2025?

Current estimate

132k $

Contributed by the Adjacent community.

4 comments

9 forecasters

Will the market capitalization for USDT & USDC stablecoins surpass $300 billion USD by June 30, 2026?

85%chance