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26
comments
66
forecasters
What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?
Current estimate
0.839 °C
Key Factors
Expectation to be below 2023 and 2024
Current trend is going towards higher values, November is likely to start over 0.6
Past two years had El Niño warming impact
0
comments
8
forecasters
How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?
Current estimate
0.987 countries
condition
US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?
5
forecasters
if yes
if no
US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?
55%
55%
US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?
22%
22%
1
0
comments
5
5
forecasters
0
comments
5
forecasters
How much greenhouse gas will Brazil emit in 2030, in CO2e tonnes?
Current estimate
1.14B t CO2e
4
comments
57
forecasters
What will be the percentage of zero-emission cars among Norwegian new car registrations during November 2025?
Current estimate
97.5 Percent
Key Factors
Current consensus is too high
October registration was only at 94%
7
comments
20
forecasters
What will the total capacity of large-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) be in 2030?
Current estimate
150 Mtpa
0
comments
4
forecasters
How many vehicle deliveries will Rivian report for Q4 2025?
Current estimate
8374 vehicles
3
comments
41
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.4%
Key Factors
New lithium reserve found in McDermitt Caldera but typically takes years to develop
2
comments
65
forecasters
Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?
Australia
68.1%
Turkey
20.2%
Germany
10.1%
2 others
2%
4
comments
12
forecasters
Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?
4%
chance
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