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US Democracy Index

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What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate

61.3%

1 comment

56 forecasters

Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?

Australia65.5%

Turkey20.1%

Germany11.4%

16 comments

88 forecasters

How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025?

Current estimate

46.1 volcanoes

1 comment

50 forecasters

What will be the percentage of zero-emission cars among Norwegian new car registrations during November 2025?

Current estimate

97.5 Percent

6 comments

61 forecasters

Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy before November 1, 2025?

5%chance

3% this week

16 comments

110 forecasters

Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?

15%chance

5% this week

9 comments

57 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate

0.844 °C

9 comments

26 forecasters

Will >1% of global primary aluminum be produced by carbon-free technology before 2030?

44%chance

10.7% this week

0 comments

40 forecasters

How many vehicle deliveries will Rivian report for Q4 2025?

Current estimate

9404 vehicles

4 comments

29 forecasters

How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years?