Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
🇺🇸
2024 US Election Hub
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season?
December 21, 2024
10k
December 7, 2024
3.75k
November 23, 2024
1.68k
9 others
6 comments
6
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?
76%
4
6 comments
6
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025?
35%
2
15 comments
15
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2024-2025 season?
H3N2
57.7
H1N1
42
H5
1.32
1
5 comments
5
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?
Zambia
52%
United Kingdom
51%
United States
50%
12 others
10 comments
10
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025?
9%
21
21 comments
21
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
When, before April 27, 2025, will the KP lineage constitute less than 50% of the COVID-19 variants monitored in the US?
2024-12-09
1
8 comments
8
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
When will the next person reach 120 years of age?
2033-11-30
5
2 comments
2
How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?
8.04
7
37 comments
37
Biosecurity Tournament
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?
Flu
Jan 11, 2025
Combined
Jan 6, 2025
COVID-19
Jan 2, 2025
1 other
2
9 comments
9
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Load More