Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

🗳️

US Democracy Index

❓

What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?

H3N284.7

H1N117.9

H5<0.1

5 comments

8 forecasters

Will the Giant Panda become extinct before 2100?

2%chance

3 comments

42 forecasters

Will the United States reopen cattle imports from Mexico before 2026?

20%chance

12% this week

Key Factors

1 comment

79 forecasters

How many US states will have banned fluoride in public drinking water before December 16, 2025?

Two94.6%

Three4.9%

Four0.4%

Key Factors

16 comments

17 forecasters

What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2025-26 season through the end of April 2026?

Current estimate

88.9%

17 comments

22 forecasters

What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?

Moderate57.6%

High28.9%

Low (or lower)9.6%

17 comments

25 forecasters

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Current estimate

1022 cases

Key Factors

15 comments

16 forecasters

What will RSV immunization coverage for the 2025-26 season be among the following groups in the US?

Infants < 8 months48.7

Eligible pregnant women37.7

Adults 75+55.5

5 comments

55 forecasters

Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of Semaglutide for the treatment of obesity by 2027?

1%chance

14 comments

18 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.5

Flu9.76

COVID-193.65