• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🗽
State of the Union
⏳
AI 2027
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?

Key Factor

Besigye's health concerns may influence his bail chance

15%chance
3% this week

Key Factor

Besigye's health concerns may influence his bail chance

Will Donald Trump file a lawsuit against Elon Musk for defamation before August 1, 2025?

1%chance

Will the US government take control of any US AI company or project before 2029?

19%chance

Will the United States government have formal veto power on the deployment of frontier AI before 2028?

13%chance
3% this week

Will a federal judge be impeached by Republican Representatives in a partisan vote before January 3, 2027?

19%chance

When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill?

July - August73.1%
September - October18.7%
November - December5.2%
and 2 others

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell before January 15, 2026?

62%chance

Contributed by the Dorsal Heart's Community Page community.

Will a second US city ban factory farming within its boundaries by the end of 2025?

10%chance

Will assisted dying for terminally ill adults be legal for the majority of United Kingdom residents before 2030?

70%chance
11% this week

Will the US Supreme Court allow birthright citizenship to be restricted in 2025?

10%chance