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2
comments
6
forecasters
Will New York Times v. Sullivan no longer be good law in the following years?
15
comments
90
forecasters
Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025?
42%
chance
12%
this week
0
comments
5
forecasters
In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?
0
comments
6
forecasters
Will the Department of Justice file criminal charges against one or more journalists under the Espionage Act in the following years?
62
comments
1.2k
forecasters
Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal in the United States in 2025?
66%
chance
8
comments
40
forecasters
Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026?
European Union
result:
Yes
United Kingdom
20%
United States
5%
18
comments
54
forecasters
Will former president Jair Bolsonaro be extradited back to Brazil before leaving the US?
result
No
0
comments
10
forecasters
Will the number of new F-1 visas issued by the US to students from China or India decrease by >10% in FY 2025?
India
49%
China
80%
35
comments
37
forecasters
Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?
Jack Smith (special counsel)
result:
No
Barack Obama
result:
No
Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)
result:
No
8 others
3
comments
25
forecasters
On December 31, 2027, in how many countries will courts have enforced a judgment based on a decentralized arbitration platform decision?
1
67.9%
2
22%
3-4
6.1%
3 others
4%
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