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41 forecasters

Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026?

0.7%chance

103 forecasters

How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025?

No 2025 ruling60.2%

Mixed ruling20.7%

Tariffs unlawful10.3%

Key Factors

12 forecasters

Will the UK join or create a youth mobility scheme with the EU before 2030?

90%chance

10% this week

24 forecasters

Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?

30%chance

10% this week

27 forecasters

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Donald Trump's second presidency?

42%chance

Key Factors

8 forecasters

In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?

15 forecasters

Before July 1, 2026, will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to hear a case that could end the constitutional right to same-sex marriage?

10%chance

4% this week

90 forecasters

Will former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol be convicted of any criminal charges before January 16, 2026?

4%chance

4% this week

Key Factors

233 forecasters

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

7.5%chance

Key Factors

36 forecasters

In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS strike down Louisiana’s two majority-Black districts, restoring a GOP-leaning map?

81%chance

Key Factors