• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
📈
Market Pulse Challenge
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
☀️
Bright Line Watch
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
🔮
Vox's Future Perfect
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

Key Factor

Textualist interpretation

10%chance

Key Factor

Textualist interpretation

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Kim Davis v. David Ermold et al before January 15, 2026?

10%chance

Will the number of new F-1 visas issued by the US to students from China or India decrease by >10% in FY 2025?

Forecast revealed in 3 days

Before July 1, 2026, will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in a case that, if decided on the merits, would hold that the US Constitution does not guarantee the right to same-sex marriage?

Forecast revealed in 4 days

Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025?

Key Factor

Close to midnight on August 12-August 13, a court issued a (pre-indictment) detention warrant for Kim Keon Hee

75%chance
35% this week

Key Factor

Close to midnight on August 12-August 13, a court issued a (pre-indictment) detention warrant for Kim Keon Hee

Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?

Jack Smith (special counsel)result: No
Barack Obamaresult: No
Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)result: No
and 8 others

Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026?

21%chance

Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?

66.7%chance

What will be the average tariff on goods entering the United States for Q4 2025?

8.21%
0.4 % this week

Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?

Key Factor

Uganda's resistance to releasing opposition figures

1%chance
5.2% this week

Key Factor

Uganda's resistance to releasing opposition figures