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3
comments
156
forecasters
Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?
30%
chance
5%
this week
14
comments
55
forecasters
Before 2031, will a G7 country have an active, publicly-funded UBI pilot program covering at least 25,000 people?
20%
chance
4.2%
this week
21
comments
156
forecasters
Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?
20%
chance
12
comments
78
forecasters
Will women receive at least 70% of bachelor's degrees in the US in the year 2050?
15.2%
chance
12
comments
92
forecasters
When will most Americans personally know someone who has dated an AI?
Current estimate
Feb 2033
251
comments
1.6k
forecasters
Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
29%
chance
54
comments
283
forecasters
Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?
52%
chance
8
comments
48
forecasters
What will be Russia's fertility rate (in births per woman) in 2027?
Current estimate
1.33 births/woman
44
comments
123
forecasters
What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years?
6
comments
79
forecasters
Will Elon Musk be removed as the Chief Executive Officer of Tesla before 2027?
9%
chance
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