• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?

Current estimate

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

Median prob. among Unjournal experts: “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030 (+/- percent)?

Current estimate
4 comments
116 forecasters

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

20%chance
5% this week

Key Factors

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "the average production cost of cultured (chicken) per kg" by 2051

Current estimate
11 comments
117 forecasters

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

95%chance
12 comments
92 forecasters

When will most Americans personally know someone who has dated an AI?

Current estimate
Oct 2032
8 comments
76 forecasters

When will the longest spaceflight of any one person reach 5 years?

Current estimate
>Dec 2040
4 comments
113 forecasters

Will the White House revoke the media credentials of reporters from two media outlets before 2026?

18%chance
7% this week
254 comments
1.6k forecasters

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

25%chance

Key Factors

14 comments
58 forecasters

Before 2031, will a G7 country have an active, publicly-funded UBI pilot program covering at least 25,000 people?

24.2%chance

Key Factors