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How many incidents of unruly passengers will the FAA report for September 2025?

157
incidents

Before 2031, will a G7 country have an active, publicly-funded UBI pilot program covering at least 25,000 people?

Key Factor

AI-induced job losses drive UBI consideration

34%chance

Key Factor

AI-induced job losses drive UBI consideration

What will be the average number of hours per day spent on the following activities by the US population in 2029 according to the American Time Use Survey?

Leisure and sports5.44
Working and work-related activities3.35

How many people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years?

Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?

13%chance
5% this week

When will any national government, international organization, or supranational body formally acknowledge the moral patienthood of an AI system?

>Jan 2031
12 weeks this week

What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years?

Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?

0.1%chance

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

57%chance

Will any U.S. state experience a permanent population decline of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?

5%chance