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Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018?

resultNo

Of the top 10 AI companies, how many will pledge not to develop lethal autonomous weapons?

result2

Will Donald Trump's approval rating decline noticeably in the wake of the Helsinki Summit?

resultNo

Will Texas elect a Democratic senator in 2018?

resultNo

Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question?

resultNo

Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2?

resultNo

Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year?

resultNo

A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon?

resultNo

Do the Others ever reach King's Landing? (According to A Song of Ice and Fire – the books, not the show)

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

63%chance

Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?

resultYes