• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Threat Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
12 comments
40 forecasters

If the US government shuts down before January 1, 2024, when will the shutdown end?

community
>16 Jan 2024
result
Annulled
64 comments
265 forecasters

Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2024?

resultNo
8 comments
69 forecasters

Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2024?

resultNo
276 comments
669 forecasters

Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?

resultNo
9 comments
40 forecasters

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Mark Zuckerbergresult: No
Sundar Pichairesult: No
Sam Altmanresult: No
35 comments
175 forecasters

Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024?

resultYes
122 comments
168 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes
Kevin Hern (R)Annulled
Steve Scalise (R)result: No
41 comments
85 forecasters

Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates?

34 comments
179 forecasters

Will Yahya Sinwar cease to act as Hamas Chief in the Gaza Strip before 2024?

resultNo
19 comments
232 forecasters

Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024?

resultNo