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12
comments
40
forecasters
If the US government shuts down before January 1, 2024, when will the shutdown end?
community
>16 Jan 2024
result
Annulled
64
comments
265
forecasters
Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2024?
result
No
8
comments
69
forecasters
Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2024?
result
No
276
comments
669
forecasters
Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?
result
No
9
comments
40
forecasters
At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?
Mark Zuckerberg
result:
No
Sundar Pichai
result:
No
Sam Altman
result:
No
2 others
35
comments
175
forecasters
Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024?
result
Yes
122
comments
168
forecasters
[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?
Mike Johnson (R)
result:
Yes
Kevin Hern (R)
Annulled
Steve Scalise (R)
result:
No
18 others
41
comments
85
forecasters
Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates?
34
comments
179
forecasters
Will Yahya Sinwar cease to act as Hamas Chief in the Gaza Strip before 2024?
result
No
19
comments
232
forecasters
Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024?
result
No
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