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In 2023 will Google, Meta, Amazon, or Apple release an AR headset?

resultYes

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH20%
Amazon Web Services8%
Microsoft Azure7%
and 1 other

Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024?

Inflectionresult: No
Metaresult: No
OpenAIresult: No
and 2 others

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH20%
Amazon Web Services15%
Microsoft Azure15%
and 1 other

Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

AMD5%
Google5%
Nvidia3%

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

4.14
states

Will Google make a "watershed" announcement about quantum computing in early December?

resultNo

Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?

resultNo

When will the first 49+ qubit universal quantum computer be constructed?

Ambiguous

Of the top 10 AI companies, how many will pledge not to develop lethal autonomous weapons?

result2