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Will TikTok still be available in the United States on December 31, 2025?

Yes, still owned by foreign adversary49%
Yes, non-adversary owner41.8%
No9.2%

Will the US ban TikTok before 2024?

resultNo

Will the United States government either ban TikTok or force a sale before 2025?

resultYes
condition

US TikTok ban or forced sale?

Resolved:Yes
11 forecasters
if yes
if no

US-China AI Treaty? (2025)

1%
1%
Resolved:No

US-China AI Treaty? (2025)

5%
5%
Resolved:Annulled
1
no comments0
Conditional Cup

Will Metaculus release a dedicated mobile app before 2023?

resultNo

When will a currently unknown social media app reach one billion downloads worldwide?

01 Oct 2025