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How many Israeli hostages will Hamas release before 2024?

Annulled

Will there be 10 or more nuclear-armed states at any time before 2035?

80%chance

Will Israel arm Ukraine before 2024?

resultYes

How many Palestinian prisoners/detainees will Israel announce that it will release before 2024?

result240

Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025?

resultNo

Before 2024, how many hostages will be freed who were captured in the October 7 Hamas attack?

Released by captorresult: 109
Rescued or escapedresult: 4

Will Israel and Hamas conduct a prisoner exchange involving ≥20 Israelis and ≥20 Palestinians in 2023?

resultYes

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea4%
Saudi Arabia3%
Japan2%
and 6 others

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran66%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea10%
and 7 others

Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land a spacecraft on the Moon, if they do so before 2026?

resultNo