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0 comments

2026 US Midterms Tracker

0 comments
116 forecasters

Will Swiss voters approve the "No to a Switzerland with 10 million" referendum?

22.8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
109 forecasters

What will be the highest score on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on August 31, 2026?

61 or below22.8%
6221.7%
6322.1%
6417.5%
65 or higher16%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
107 forecasters

UK Parliament approve greenhouse gas emissions target by 2040?

85%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
106 forecasters

How many people aged 16 to 24 will the UK estimate are NEETs before September 1, 2026?

Latest estimate
1.02M people

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
105 forecasters

How many software development jobs will be posted on Upwork on July 1, 2026?

Latest estimate
24.3k jobs

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
103 forecasters

Which country's team will score the most points at the 2026 International Mathematical Olympiad?

Peopleโ€™s Republic of China62%
United States of America20.3%
Republic of Korea6.1%
Tie for highest score2.8%
4 others

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
104 forecasters

Tampa sulphur price in June 2026?

Latest estimate
699 USD/metric ton

This question is closed for forecasting.

5 comments
30 forecasters

Wild animal infected with New World screwworm in the US before 2027?

70%chance
37.1% this week
22 comments
122 forecasters

Will Pope Leo XIV visit another country before Sept 2026?

97%chance
86% this week

Key Factors

  • Centenary strengthens San Marino visit
  • No signals of surprise travel in summer 2026
  • Summer vacation closes July travel window
3 comments
13 forecasters

SpaceX last closing price at end of August 2026?

Current estimate
0 comments
115 forecasters

Will Starlink's website show South Africa having Starlink by Sep 1, 2026?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
115 forecasters

Will the People's Republic of China blockade Taiwan before September 1, 2026?

8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
116 forecasters

Will the June 2026 U of MI Consumer Sentiment # be > than it was for May 2026?

48.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
113 forecasters

Will Trump & Putin speak on the phone with each other before August 1, 2026?

65%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
112 forecasters

Will Starlink's website show India as having Starlink available by Sep 1, 2026?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
112 forecasters

Will a hurricane make landfall in the continental USA before September 1, 2026?

31.3%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
107 forecasters

How many individuals will get perfect scores at the 2026 International Mathematical Olympiad?

Latest estimate
2.73 perfect scores

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
107 forecasters

What will be the avg 30-yr fixed rate mortgage for the week ending Aug 27, 2026?

At least 6.00% but less than 6.25%11.2%
At least 6.25% but less than 6.50%27.5%
At least 6.50% but less than 6.75%32.8%
At least 6.75% but less than 7.00%16.7%
2 others

This question is closed for forecasting.

102 comments
103 forecasters

Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters opening weekend domestic gross?

community
142M $
result
Annulled
0 comments
104 forecasters

Toy Story 5 opening weekend domestic gross?

Latest estimate
140M $

This question is closed for forecasting.

98 comments
101 forecasters

Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters opening weekend domestic gross?

community
<75M $
result
Annulled
0 comments
100 forecasters

Minions & Monsters opening weekend domestic gross?

Latest estimate
<75M $

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
115 forecasters

Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target range by July 30, 2026?

28%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.