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5 comments
16 forecasters

Wild animal infected with New World screwworm in the US before 2027?

65%chance
32.2% this week
0 comments

2026 US Midterms Tracker

0 comments
101 forecasters

Will the EIA/FRED daily Brent crude spot price reach at least $130 per barrel before September 1, 20

20.8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
96 forecasters

Will Wes Streeting formally submit nominations to trigger a Labour leadership contest before Septemb

36.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
97 forecasters

What will SpaceX's closing market capitalization be on its first day of trading as a public company?

$1.5 trillion to $2.0 trillion26.3%
$2.0 trillion to $2.5 trillion36.5%
$2.5 trillion to $3.0 trillion18.1%
More than $3.0 trillion7.9%
2 others

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
92 forecasters

Voter Turnout in 2026 Algerian Elections?

Latest estimate
24.6%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
89 forecasters

Will Russia and Ukraine sign a formal written peace or ceasefire agreement before September 10, 2026

14%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
111 forecasters

Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before September 1, 2026?

30%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
103 forecasters

What will the U.S. seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts be in July 2026?

Latest estimate
1.37 million units

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
103 forecasters

What will the U.S. seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of total privately-owned housing starts be

Latest estimate
1415 thousand units

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
99 forecasters

How will the Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prenga fight on July 25, 2026 end?

Joshua wins by KO/TKO/stoppage in rounds 1โ€“332.4%
Joshua wins by KO/TKO/stoppage in rounds 4โ€“632.5%
Joshua wins by KO/TKO/stoppage in rounds 7โ€“1214.7%
Fight goes the distance (decision or technical decision)9.2%
Other outcome11.2%

This question is closed for forecasting.

12 comments
31 forecasters

US acquired NWS infection before 2027?

70%chance
51% this week
0 comments
102 forecasters

How many vehicles will Tesla deliver in Q2 2026?

Latest estimate
404k vehicles

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
110 forecasters

Will Reform UK win the Makerfield parliamentary by-election on June 18, 2026?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
47 forecasters

Mangione guilty plea

16.2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
46 forecasters

How many laboratory-confirmed Ebola (Bundibugyo virus) cases will WHO report in the Democratic Repub

Latest estimate
648 cases

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
103 forecasters

What percentage of the vote will Reform UK receive in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election on 18

Latest estimate
41.2%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
54 forecasters

Will Minnesotaโ€™s prediction-market ban be blocked by a federal court order on August 1, 2026?

69%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
9 forecasters

Date that Google reports an AI reached CBRN uplift level 1?

Current estimate
05 Oct 2030
18 comments
103 forecasters

Will Pope Leo XIV visit another country before Sept 2026?

80%chance
69% this week

Key Factors

  • No signals of surprise travel in summer 2026
  • Summer vacation closes July travel window
0 comments
103 forecasters

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell?

65%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
99 forecasters

VIX biweekly maximum in Q2 2026?

Latest estimate
20.7 pp

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

What share of Armeniaโ€™s National Assembly seats will Civil Contract win in the June 2026 parliamenta

Less than 52% of all National Assembly seats14.1%
At least 52% but less than 58% of all National Assembly seats32.1%
At least 58% but less than 64% of all National Assembly seats28.9%
At least 64% but less than two-thirds of all National Assembly seats17.6%
At least two-thirds of all National Assembly seats7.3%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
98 forecasters

NVDA vs AAPL in Q2 2026?

Latest estimate
1.15 pp

This question is closed for forecasting.