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US Democracy Index

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How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

Current estimate

0.987 countries

condition

5 forecasters

0 comments

5 forecasters

How much greenhouse gas will Brazil emit in 2030, in CO2e tonnes?

Current estimate

1.14B t CO2e

3 comments

41 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate

61.5%

Key Factors

20 comments

187 forecasters

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

4 comments

12 forecasters

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

4%chance

1 comment

18 forecasters

What will be the estimated fleet average fuel economy (in mpg) imposed by a regulatory agency in the United States for light vehicles manufactured in the following years?

1 comment

28 forecasters

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

66%chance

22 comments

283 forecasters

Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?

69%chance

0 comments

21 forecasters

Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?

5%chance

3% this week

How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

How much greenhouse gas will Brazil emit in 2030, in CO2e tonnes?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

What will be the estimated fleet average fuel economy (in mpg) imposed by a regulatory agency in the United States for light vehicles manufactured in the following years?

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?

Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?

How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

How much greenhouse gas will Brazil emit in 2030, in CO2e tonnes?

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

What will be the estimated fleet average fuel economy (in mpg) imposed by a regulatory agency in the United States for light vehicles manufactured in the following years?

Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?

Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?

Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?