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Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?

Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models?

Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?

OpenAI solves alignment before June 30 2027?

Human Extinction by 2100

Human Extinction by 2100

14

Will OpenAI announce that it has solved the core technical challenges of superintelligence alignment by June 30, 2027?

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

Key Factor

Break out of other LLM (Gemini, Claude...)

Key Factor

Break out of other LLM (Gemini, Claude...)

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024?

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?