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condition
China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference?
if yes
if no
US-China war before 2035?
23%
23%
US-China war before 2035?
24%
24%
1
no comments
0
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024?
Resolved :
No
38
33 comments
33
condition
DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election?
Resolved :
Yes
if yes
if no
Chinese Control of Half of Taiwan by 2050?
55%
55%
Chinese Control of Half of Taiwan by 2050?
48%
48%
Resolved :
Annulled
4
1 comment
1
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
35%
104
200 comments
200
The Taiwan Tinderbox
If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?
75%
21
23 comments
23
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition
US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan?
if yes
if no
US-China war before 2035?
4%
4%
US-China war before 2035?
5%
5%
3
1 comment
1
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years?
2025:
1%
10
4 comments
4
The Taiwan Tinderbox
If Taiwan declares independence by 2035, will the United States appoint an ambassador within a year?
44%
2
9 comments
9
Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
68%
19
18 comments
18
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will Taiwan/Republic of China declare independence by 2035?
20%
16
9 comments
9
The Taiwan Tinderbox
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