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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
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U.S. Democracy Threat Index
Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding
5
3
3
comments
Research Agencies Outlook
Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup
4
13
13
comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
0
comments
3
forecasters
Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?
0
comments
96
forecasters
Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023?
72.5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
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3
3
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0
comments
99
forecasters
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?
25%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
90
forecasters
Will the number of new F-1 visas issued by the US to students from China or India decrease by >10% in FY 2025? (China)
75%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!
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0
comments
0
comments
85
forecasters
What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (September 2025)
Latest estimate
4.28%
This question is closed for forecasting.
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