How many clinicaltrials.gov studies with an LLM-based Chatbot as the intervention/treatment will be recruiting on August 1, 2026 ?0 comments134134 forecasters
How many papers submitted to arXiv in July and August 2026 will mention agentic reinforcement learning in their abstracts?215 papers (126 - 315)0 comments136136 forecasters215 papers (126 - 315)
Which lab will have the highest score on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on August 31, 2026?0 comments129129 forecasters
How many EU member states will the AI Act National Implementation tracker classify as having clear market surveillance and notifying authorities on August 31, 2026?0 comments145145 forecasters
What will be the access status of Claude Fable and Mythos on September 1, 2026?42626 comments106106 forecasters
How many visitor arrivals will the government of Fiji report for July 2026?0 comments137137 forecasters
How many visitor arrivals will the government of Fiji report for June 2026?92.3k visitors (86.5k - 97.6k)0 comments115115 forecasters92.3k visitors (86.5k - 97.6k)
What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season on September 1, 2026?25.8 10^4 kt^2 (10.9 - 53.5)0 comments114114 forecasters25.8 10^4 kt^2 (10.9 - 53.5)
Will AI Daily's "AI Support" among American adults turn negative before 2027?64% chance122 comments66 forecasters64%chance
What will be the highest daily number of PLA aircraft tracked by Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense in Taiwan's air-defense identification zone (ADIZ) in July-August 2026?35 aircraft (28 - 43)-10 comments22 forecasters35 aircraft (28 - 43)
What will be the average performance on ANIMA for AI models released between June 2026 and June 2027?Annulled100100 comments105105 forecastersAnnulled
Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?37% chance33636 comments906906 forecasters37%chance
Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?result: no51010 comments111111 forecastersResolvedNo
What will be the highest score on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on August 31, 2026?105105 comments109109 forecasters
How much will the occupational mix have changed in the following years, relative to November 2022?77 comments2525 forecasters
Which country's team will score the most points at the 2026 International Mathematical Olympiad?0 comments103103 forecasters
What will the percent change be in the US STEM bachelor's degrees awarded in the following years relative to 2024-25?31414 comments4141 forecasters
What will the percent change in the US employment levels be in these years vs 2025, conditional on AI funding stagnation?1414 comments2424 forecasters
How many individuals will get perfect scores at the 2026 International Mathematical Olympiad?3 perfect scores (1 - 5)0 comments107107 forecasters3 perfect scores (1 - 5)
What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?94.3 (90.1 - 97.2)52828 comments741741 forecasters94.3 (90.1 - 97.2)