• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

14
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index

Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding

5
33 comments
Research Agencies Outlook

Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup

4
1313 comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
0 comments
3 forecasters

Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?

0 comments
96 forecasters

Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023?

72.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
33 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0 comments
99 forecasters

Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?

25%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
90 forecasters

Will the number of new F-1 visas issued by the US to students from China or India decrease by >10% in FY 2025? (China)

75%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments
0 comments
85 forecasters

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (September 2025)

Latest estimate
4.28%

This question is closed for forecasting.