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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
4
4
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season
6
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
0
comments
107
forecasters
Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI?
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
104
forecasters
Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 31 minutes
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
10
2
2
comments
Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant
0
comments
6
comments
6
forecasters
What will be the mean inflation adjusted annual wage of software developers in the United States in the following years using May 2023 dollars?
0
comments
54
forecasters
#23 - Will the new recreation software system be up and running before the end of 2025?
39.5%
chance
24.5%
this week
0
comments
98
forecasters
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
Latest estimate
46.3%
This question is closed for forecasting.
8
comments
13
forecasters
How many software developers will there be in the US in the following years?
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