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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
0 comments
107 forecasters

Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
104 forecasters

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

Current estimate
Revealed in 31 minutes

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments

Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant

0 comments
6 comments
6 forecasters

What will be the mean inflation adjusted annual wage of software developers in the United States in the following years using May 2023 dollars?

0 comments
54 forecasters

#23 - Will the new recreation software system be up and running before the end of 2025?

39.5%chance
24.5% this week
0 comments
98 forecasters

What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?

Latest estimate
46.3%

This question is closed for forecasting.

8 comments
13 forecasters

How many software developers will there be in the US in the following years?