What will the Japan Economy Watchers Current Index be in the August release?0 comments130130 forecasters
What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026?6% (4.7 - 7.2)0 comments128128 forecasters6% (4.7 - 7.2)
Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on December 31, 2026?60% chance111 comment1515 forecasters60%chance
What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)4.51 pp (4.33 - 4.7)103103 comments107107 forecastersResolved4.4 pp
Will the SEC adopt a final rule permitting optional semiannual reporting before January 1, 2027?11 comment22 forecasters%chance
Will the U.S. Senate take a floor vote on the CLARITY Act (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act) before June 29, 2026?result: no11 comment9898 forecastersResolvedNo
What will the 10-year U.S. Treasury constant maturity yield be on June 25, 2026?4.46 value (4.34 - 4.6)11 comment8888 forecastersResolved4.4 value
Will the Bank of England raise Bank Rate before August 1, 2026?17% chance0 comments112112 forecasters17%chance
What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026?1919 comments5959 forecasters
What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?61717 comments2828 forecasters
What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on July 14, 2026?39.3% (38.5 - 40.1)233 comments1414 forecasters39.3% (38.5 - 40.1)
What will be the closing price of Crude Oil WTI (in USD per barrel) on December 31, 2026?83.1 USD (75.6 - 92.8)33 comments1717 forecasters83.1 USD (75.6 - 92.8)
What will Adjacent's RED and BLUE political index values be at the 2026 midterms?22 comments33 forecasters
What will be the annualized percent real GDP growth rate in the United States from 2026 to 2028?2.36% (1.42 - 3.72)0 comments2323 forecasters2.36% (1.42 - 3.72)
Will the US dollar continuously remain >50% of global foreign currency exchange reserves through Q3 2028?77% chance877 comments390390 forecasters77%chance
Will the June 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment number be greater than it was for May 2026?result: yes113113 comments116116 forecastersResolvedYes
Will the Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) close at or above 31,000 on June 12, 2026?result: no109109 comments101101 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target range before July 30, 2026?28% chance0 comments115115 forecasters28%chance
What will be the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage for the week ending August 27, 2026?0 comments107107 forecasters