Question Feed | Metaculus

Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Health & Pandemics

Computing and Math

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Sports & Entertainment

🧑‍🤝‍🧑

Social Sciences

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Cryptocurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for June 2026?

11.4k encounters (9204 - 14k)

117

117 forecasters

11.4k encounters

(9204 - 14k)

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in July 2026?

5.14M passengers (4.65M - 5.65M)

116

116 forecasters

5.14M passengers

(4.65M - 5.65M)

What will the Japan Economy Watchers Current Index be in the August release?

130

130 forecasters

How many software development jobs will be posted on Upwork on July 1, 2026?

24.3k jobs (22.4k - 26.4k)

100 100 comments

105

105 forecasters

Resolved23.973k jobs

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on July 14, 2026?

38.7% (36.6 - 40.5)

124

124 forecasters

38.7%

(36.6 - 40.5)

What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026?

6% (4.7 - 7.2)

128

128 forecasters

6%

(4.7 - 7.2)

Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on December 31, 2026?

60% chance

1

15

15 forecasters

60%chance

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in June 2026?

4.71M passengers (4.32M - 5.23M)

119

119 forecasters

4.71M passengers

(4.32M - 5.23M)

How many subscribers will the New York Times Company report in its Q2 2026 earnings release?

13.3M subscribers (13.2M - 13.4M)

120

120 forecasters

13.3M subscribers

(13.2M - 13.4M)

How many software development jobs will be posted on Upwork on July 1, 2026?

24.7k jobs (23.5k - 25.5k)

1

8

8 forecasters

Resolved23.973k jobs

How many visitor arrivals will the government of Fiji report for June 2026?

92.3k visitors (86.5k - 97.6k)

115

115 forecasters

92.3k visitors

(86.5k - 97.6k)

What will be the income ratio between men and women employed full-time by 2025 in the US?

0.852 (0.839 - 0.864)

6

20

20 forecasters

Resolved0.809

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in July 2026?

2

2 forecasters

How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26)

0.371 pp (-1.04 - 1.68)

105 105 comments

109

109 forecasters

Resolved-0.543 pp

Will the FAO Food Price Index reach a new yearly high for July 2026?

5

5 forecasters

%chance

What will be the rise in average hourly earnings for all employees on U.S. private nonfarm payrolls from June 2026 to July 2026?

0.12 $ (0.08 - 0.16)

107

107 forecasters

0.12 $

(0.08 - 0.16)

Will USTR announce a final Section 301 forced-labor tariff action covering at least 30 economies before July 25, 2026?

65% chance

122

122 forecasters

65%chance

What will be the total U.S. wildfire acres burned year-to-date reported by NIFC on July 9, 2026?

3.54 value (3.31 - 3.85)

109

109 forecasters

3.54 value

(3.31 - 3.85)

What approval rating will Gallup Korea report for President Lee Jae-myung in the Daily Opinion released July 10, 2026?

49 value (46 - 52)

107

107 forecasters

49 value

(46 - 52)

What will the unemployment rate among new graduates be in the following years?

1

36

36 forecasters

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

6

28

28 forecasters

The 2026 US Midterms Tracker is Live!

8