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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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How many barrels of oil will be in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve at the end of the second week of August 2026?

308k thousand barrels (<300k - 339k)

0 comments
123
123 forecasters
308k thousand barrels
(<300k - 339k)

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in July 2026?

5.14M passengers (4.65M - 5.65M)

0 comments
116
116 forecasters
5.14M passengers
(4.65M - 5.65M)

What will the Japan Economy Watchers Current Index be in the August release?

0 comments
130
130 forecasters

What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026?

6% (4.7 - 7.2)

0 comments
128
128 forecasters
6%
(4.7 - 7.2)

Will the S&P 500 close at or above 8,000 on December 31, 2026?

60% chance

1
11 comment
15
15 forecasters
60%chance

How many foreign visitors will fly to the United States in June 2026?

4.71M passengers (4.32M - 5.23M)

0 comments
119
119 forecasters
4.71M passengers
(4.32M - 5.23M)

How many visitor arrivals will the government of Fiji report for June 2026?

92.3k visitors (86.5k - 97.6k)

0 comments
115
115 forecasters
92.3k visitors
(86.5k - 97.6k)

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in July 2026?

0 comments
2
2 forecasters

Will the FAO Food Price Index reach a new yearly high for July 2026?

0 comments
5
5 forecasters
%chance

What will the 10-year U.S. Treasury constant maturity yield be on June 25, 2026?

4.46 value (4.34 - 4.6)

11 comment
88
88 forecasters
Resolved4.4 value

What will the Tokyo core CPI (excluding fresh food) year-on-year inflation rate be for June 2026?

1.3 value (1.1 - 1.6)

11 comment
84
84 forecasters
Resolved1.6 value

Which month will have the highest officially reported TSMC consolidated net revenue among May, June, and July 2026?

0 comments
114
114 forecasters

What will be the rise in average hourly earnings for all employees on U.S. private nonfarm payrolls from June 2026 to July 2026?

0.12 $ (0.08 - 0.16)

0 comments
107
107 forecasters
0.12 $
(0.08 - 0.16)

What will be foreign investors' net buy/sell value on KOSPI stocks during the week of July 6โ€“10, 2026 (in trillion won)?

-3.2 value (-6.25 - -0.127)

0 comments
107
107 forecasters
-3.2 value
(-6.25 - -0.127)

What will the unemployment rate among new graduates be in the following years?

1
1010 comments
36
36 forecasters

What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026?

149 $ (128 - 172)

1
1515 comments
123
123 forecasters
149 $
(128 - 172)

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

6
1717 comments
28
28 forecasters

What will be the World Bank monthly price of liquid sulphur (Tampa) for Q3 2026?

88 comments
53
53 forecasters

How many confirmed cases will the 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak reach?

77 comments
14
14 forecasters

Will the US and India finalise a new bilateral trade agreement before August 2026?

27% chance

77 comments
98
98 forecasters
27%chance

What will the percent change in the US employment levels be in the following years relative to 2025?

4
3232 comments
46
46 forecasters

How many building permits will California issue in March through May 2026?

27.4k Building Permits (26.7k - 28.6k)

3
2121 comments
105
105 forecasters
Resolved27.049k Building Permits