Question Feed | Metaculus

When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

27 Dec 2028 (28 Jul 2025 - Nov 2033)

27 Dec 2028

(28 Jul 2025 - Nov 2033)

When will the remaining six Millennium Prize problems be solved?

Will Mochizuki retract his proof of the abc conjecture before 2050?

15% chance

15%chance

Is the abc conjecture true?

94% chance

94%chance

When will we know whether the Shannon capacity of a 7-cycle is equal to the Theta function of the 7-cycle?

2089 (Aug 2064 - 2112)

2089

(Aug 2064 - 2112)

Is the Shannon Capacity of the 7-cycle equal to its Theta function?

50% chance

50%chance

Is the sunflower conjecture true?

67% chance

67%chance

Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?

12% chance

12%chance

Has Michael Atiyah possibly cracked the Riemann hypothesis?

result: no

ResolvedNo

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

1% chance

129

1%chance

When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

When will the remaining six Millennium Prize problems be solved?

Will Mochizuki retract his proof of the abc conjecture before 2050?

Is the abc conjecture true?

When will we know whether the Shannon capacity of a 7-cycle is equal to the Theta function of the 7-cycle?

Is the Shannon Capacity of the 7-cycle equal to its Theta function?

Is the sunflower conjecture true?

Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?

Has Michael Atiyah possibly cracked the Riemann hypothesis?

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

Ultraviolet Catastrophes and Turbulence

Elliptic Curves, Diophantine Equations, and Cryptography

Computability and Complexity

Action Ontologies, Computer Ontologies

Sums and Products

Take the Research Impact Challenge

When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

When will the remaining six Millennium Prize problems be solved?

Will Mochizuki retract his proof of the abc conjecture before 2050?

Is the abc conjecture true?

When will we know whether the Shannon capacity of a 7-cycle is equal to the Theta function of the 7-cycle?

Is the Shannon Capacity of the 7-cycle equal to its Theta function?

Is the sunflower conjecture true?

Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?

Has Michael Atiyah possibly cracked the Riemann hypothesis?

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

Ultraviolet Catastrophes and Turbulence

Elliptic Curves, Diophantine Equations, and Cryptography

Computability and Complexity

Action Ontologies, Computer Ontologies

Sums and Products

Take the Research Impact Challenge