Contributed by the A Dictator’s Diary: The Strategic Logic of Political Survival community.
32 comments
48 forecasters
Who will be the first long-term President of Russia after Putin?
Mikhail Mishustin13%
Nikolai Patrushev3%
Dmitry Medvedev3%
1 comment
50 forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?
76%chance
3 comments
34 forecasters
Will there be a frontier AI model from the given country before 2035?
India50%
Israel27%
Russia8%
Contributed by the Cпільнота українських передбачувачів community.
23 comments
170 forecasters
Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?
1%chance