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3
comments
37
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
63.2%
3
comments
39
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
35.4%
OpenAI
22.1%
Anthropic
15.8%
3 others
27%
1
comment
Will Helion deliver ≥50 MW to Microsoft under their fusion PPA before January 1, 2030?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 4 days
0
comments
106
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
6
comments
8
forecasters
When will a satellite be equipped with a nuclear weapon?
Current estimate
Jan 2061
Contributed by the
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
community.
0
comments
8
forecasters
What percentage of Americans will identify computers/technology advancement as the US's most important problem by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
0.668%
11
comments
62
forecasters
On December 1, 2025, what will be the world's most valuable company by market cap?
Nvidia
92.2%
Microsoft
6.4%
Apple
1.2%
2 others
0%
5
comments
15
forecasters
Will Tesla operate 400,000 driverless robotaxis over any three consecutive months before 2032?
50%
chance
10%
this week
8
comments
64
forecasters
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test before December 16, 2025?
3%
chance
0
comments
31
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
29%
Google Cloud
14.2%
Microsoft Azure
14%
1 other
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