0 comments
9 forecasters
Will the United States, Russia or China detonate a nuclear device before April 1, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
0 comments
8 forecasters
Will NVIDIA's stock price close above $220 or below $180 on any single day before November 22, 2025?
Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
2 comments
9 forecasters
Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO before 2027?
44%chance
41% this week
0 comments
106 forecasters
Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?
20%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
8 forecasters
How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?
Current estimate
0.987 countries
4 comments
3 forecasters
Will China publicly sell domestic AI accelerators to Russia by 2030?
74%chance
0 comments
107 forecasters
Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI?
15%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
100 forecasters
How large will the largest cluster used to train an AI model be, by the end of the following years? (2025)
Latest estimate
173k GPUs
This question is closed for forecasting.