Will a genetically engineered living biosensor be successfuly deployed in the field for ≥3 months before 2032?40% chance122 comments66 forecasters40%chance
If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?Sep 2049 (Oct 2036 - Nov 2063)911 comment3939 forecastersSep 2049 (Oct 2036 - Nov 2063)
Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?65% chance11 comment1313 forecasters65%chance