Will a genetically engineered living biosensor be successfuly deployed in the field for ≥3 months before 2032?45% chance22 comments88 forecasters45%chance
Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?54.9% chance11 comment1414 forecasters54.9%chance
If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?Mar 2052 (Jan 2040 - Mar 2065)911 comment3838 forecastersMar 2052 (Jan 2040 - Mar 2065)