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2
comments
31
forecasters
By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?
60%
chance
86
comments
248
forecasters
By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?
60%
chance
38
comments
118
forecasters
When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?
Current estimate
23 Aug 2029
Contributed by the
Foresight Institute
community.
0
comments
4
forecasters
Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?
Embryo gene editing
45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)
32.3%
Neither/Other
21.8%
1
comment
17
forecasters
When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?
Current estimate
Mar 2057
1
comment
4
forecasters
When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?
Current estimate
Aug 2036
38
comments
58
forecasters
By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?
55%
chance
19
comments
22
forecasters
When will the first babies screened by Orchid Health be born?
Current estimate
23 Jul 2024
9
comments
46
forecasters
When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?
Current estimate
Sep 2032
25
comments
78
forecasters
Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
15%
chance
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