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1 comment
4 forecasters

When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?

Current estimate
Mar 2035
1 comment
8 forecasters

Will gene editing of human embryos for therapeutic purposes be officially approved by any country before 2035?

55%chance
43 comments
525 forecasters

By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?

resultYes
38 comments
58 forecasters

By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

55%chance
11 comments
61 forecasters

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

5%chance
86 comments
254 forecasters

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

64%chance
14 comments
117 forecasters

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

Current estimate
36 babies
9 comments
58 forecasters

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%chance

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

0 comments
4 forecasters

Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?

Embryo gene editing45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)32.3%
Neither/Other21.8%
2 comments
31 forecasters

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

60%chance