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1
comment
7
forecasters
Will the US codify IVF protections at a federal level by 2030?
66.7%
chance
24
comments
35
forecasters
How good will the best published polygenic score be for intelligence in 2026?
Current estimate
0.259
86
comments
253
forecasters
By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?
63%
chance
38
comments
58
forecasters
By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?
55%
chance
30
comments
85
forecasters
Will Republicans support embryo selection for intelligence more than Democrats?
44%
chance
2
comments
57
forecasters
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Permissibility of genetic engineering
community
55.8
result
64.21
1
comment
8
forecasters
Will gene editing of human embryos for therapeutic purposes be officially approved by any country before 2035?
55%
chance
1
comment
4
forecasters
When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?
Current estimate
Mar 2035
16
comments
72
forecasters
When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?
Current estimate
Dec 2033
9
comments
46
forecasters
When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?
Current estimate
May 2032
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