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1
comment
4
forecasters
When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?
Current estimate
Mar 2035
1
comment
8
forecasters
Will gene editing of human embryos for therapeutic purposes be officially approved by any country before 2035?
55%
chance
43
comments
525
forecasters
By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?
result
Yes
38
comments
58
forecasters
By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?
55%
chance
11
comments
61
forecasters
Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
5%
chance
86
comments
254
forecasters
By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?
64%
chance
14
comments
117
forecasters
How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?
Current estimate
36 babies
9
comments
58
forecasters
Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
40%
chance
Contributed by the
Foresight Institute
community.
0
comments
4
forecasters
Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?
Embryo gene editing
45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)
32.3%
Neither/Other
21.8%
2
comments
31
forecasters
By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?
60%
chance
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