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2 comments
31 forecasters

By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?

60%chance
86 comments
248 forecasters

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

60%chance
38 comments
118 forecasters

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

Current estimate
23 Aug 2029

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

0 comments
4 forecasters

Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?

Embryo gene editing45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)32.3%
Neither/Other21.8%
1 comment
17 forecasters

When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?

Current estimate
Mar 2057
1 comment
4 forecasters

When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?

Current estimate
Aug 2036
38 comments
58 forecasters

By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

55%chance
19 comments
22 forecasters

When will the first babies screened by Orchid Health be born?

Current estimate
23 Jul 2024
9 comments
46 forecasters

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

Current estimate
Sep 2032
25 comments
78 forecasters

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%chance