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Contributed by the
Foresight Institute
community.
0
comments
4
forecasters
Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?
Embryo gene editing
45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)
32.3%
Neither/Other
21.8%
38
comments
58
forecasters
By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?
55%
chance
1
comment
4
forecasters
When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?
Current estimate
Aug 2036
27
comments
225
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
chance
Polygenic Selection of Embryos
21
7
7
comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
2
comments
57
forecasters
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Permissibility of genetic engineering
community
55.8
result
64.21
8
comments
30
forecasters
When will we be able to predict at least 10% of variance in Big Five agreeableness based on genetic information alone?
Current estimate
Nov 2033
14
comments
117
forecasters
How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?
Current estimate
30.1 babies