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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
27 comments
225 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

22.8%chance
38 comments
58 forecasters

By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

55%chance
2 comments
57 forecasters

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Permissibility of genetic engineering

community
55.8
result
64.21
1 comment
4 forecasters

When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?

Current estimate
Mar 2035

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

0 comments
4 forecasters

Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?

Embryo gene editing45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)32.3%
Neither/Other21.8%

Polygenic Selection of Embryos

21
77 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives
8 comments
30 forecasters

When will we be able to predict at least 10% of variance in Big Five agreeableness based on genetic information alone?

Current estimate
Nov 2033
14 comments
117 forecasters

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

Current estimate
33.6 babies