Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?25% chance342727 comments231231 forecasters25%chance
How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?17 babies (3.58 - 207)351414 comments117117 forecasters17 babies (3.58 - 207)
When will we be able to predict at least 10% of variance in Big Five agreeableness based on genetic information alone?Jul 2032 (18 Sep 2027 - Jan 2058)1088 comments3030 forecastersJul 2032 (18 Sep 2027 - Jan 2058)
When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?Oct 2034 (02 Mar 2031 - May 2038)211 comment55 forecastersOct 2034 (02 Mar 2031 - May 2038)
Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?20 comments44 forecasters
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Permissibility of genetic engineering55.8 (43.5 - 68.4)822 comments5757 forecastersResolved64.21
By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?55% chance173838 comments5757 forecasters55%chance