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Ragnarรถk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

25% chance

34
2727 comments
231
231 forecasters
25%chance

Will the Somerton Man's DNA match that of "Jestyn's" family?

result: no

9
1212 comments
41
41 forecasters
ResolvedNo

When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?

Oct 2034 (11 Mar 2031 - Jun 2038)

2
11 comment
5
5 forecasters
Oct 2034
(11 Mar 2031 - Jun 2038)

Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?

2
0 comments
4
4 forecasters

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Permissibility of genetic engineering

55.8 (43.5 - 68.4)

8
22 comments
57
57 forecasters
Resolved64.21

By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

55% chance

17
3838 comments
57
57 forecasters
55%chance

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

31 Mar 2029 (28 Jan 2027 - Aug 2033)

33
4040 comments
121
121 forecasters
31 Mar 2029
(28 Jan 2027 - Aug 2033)