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How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Current estimate

89.7 cases

23 comments

81 forecasters

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

1.5%chance

1.3% this week

condition

Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

124

Resolved:Annulled

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

144

13 13 comments

17 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

4 comments

13 forecasters

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

2 comments

56 forecasters

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

62%chance

3 comments

59 forecasters

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

36 comments

206 forecasters

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

4%chance

46 comments

18 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season?

Combinedresult: 20.9

Fluresult: 8.9

COVID-19result: 7.7

condition

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

21 forecasters

if yes

if no

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.646

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.957

10 10 comments

21 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

31 comments

18 forecasters

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season?

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season?

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season?