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Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season
6
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
2
comments
65
forecasters
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
40%
chance
6%
this week
31
comments
18
forecasters
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season?
00
21
comments
19
forecasters
Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?
United Kingdom
result:
Yes
United States
result:
Yes
Zambia
result:
Yes
12 others
condition
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
24
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
13%
13%
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
0%
0%
7
7
comments
24
24
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
79
comments
218
forecasters
How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?
community
104k
result
Ambiguous
14
comments
34
forecasters
How many additional H5N1 infections will be reported in wild birds across the United States by the end of March 2023?
community
159
result
141
55
comments
32
forecasters
Will the CDC confirm a case of Clade I mpox in a US resident before August 23, 2024?
result
No
9
comments
39
forecasters
Will the CDC confirm a case of Clade I mpox in a US resident before August 23, 2024?
result
No
36
comments
182
forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
2%
chance
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