3 comments
59 forecasters
What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?
4 comments
21 forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%chance
0 comments
15 forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease?
Current estimate
68.8 deaths per 100k
2 comments
159 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
7%chance
27 comments
225 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%chance
2 comments
66 forecasters
Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?
resultNo
