4 comments
21 forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%chance
0 comments
15 forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease?
Current estimate
69 deaths per 100k
3 comments
59 forecasters
What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?
1 comment
81 forecasters
Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?
resultNo
2 comments
66 forecasters
Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?
resultNo