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Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

resultNo

41 comments

143 forecasters

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

resultYes

24 comments

77 forecasters

Will the current Ebola outbreak be contained to under 50 cases?

resultNo

23 comments

102 forecasters

Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023?

resultNo

condition

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

21 forecasters

if yes

if no

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.646

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.957

10 10 comments

21 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

21 comments

19 forecasters

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

United Kingdomresult: Yes

United Statesresult: Yes

Zambiaresult: Yes

condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters

if yes

if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

13%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

7 7 comments

24 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

10 comments

35 forecasters

Will the Secretary of the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for mpox (monkeypox) before October 1, 2024?

resultNo

59 comments

34 forecasters

Will the Secretary of the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for mpox (monkeypox) before October 1, 2024?

resultNo

55 comments

45 forecasters

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

This question is closed for forecasting.