Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before July 2027?10% chance155 comments1111 forecasters10%chance
Respiratory Outlook July Update: Screwworm continues US spread as Ebola outbreak surges in DRC40 comments
How many Clade I Mpox cases will have been reported in the US before 2027?51 cases (41 - 60)1515 comments1616 forecasters51 cases (41 - 60)
Will a novel human-infectious pandemic originate in these countries before 2100?11 comment33 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?23% chance342727 comments231231 forecasters23%chance
Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before 2027?8% chance11111 comments6363 forecasters8%chance
Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?result: yes274141 comments143143 forecastersResolvedYes
Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?2121 comments1919 forecasters
How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?Ambiguous377979 comments218218 forecastersAmbiguous
What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?125757 comments4545 forecasters
What percentage of monkeypox cases in the UK will be among gay, bisexual, or men who have sex with men?Ambiguous666 comments4444 forecastersAmbiguous
What will be the worldwide 7-day rolling average of confirmed mpox cases for June 30, 2023?8.15 (6.23 - 10.8)188 comments3636 forecastersResolved11
What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022?4419 (3821 - 5202)142626 comments7474 forecastersResolved4867
Will the 7-day average confirmed mpox cases in 2024 exceed the peak 7-day average confirmed mpox cases from the 2022-2023 outbreak by September 30, 2024?47.5% chance6363 comments3333 forecastersAnnulled
Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?result: no51212 comments4848 forecastersResolvedNo
Will Angola confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?result: no5252 comments2929 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the US confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?result: no4949 comments2727 forecastersResolvedNo
Will Zambia confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?result: no5252 comments2929 forecastersResolvedNo
How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?272 (186 - 432)162727 comments8686 forecastersResolved282
Will Japan confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?result: no5656 comments3131 forecastersResolvedNo