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condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

7%
7%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
condition

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

21 forecasters
if yes
if no

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.61

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.942
1010 comments
21
21 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
36 comments
182 forecasters

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

2%chance
12 comments
48 forecasters

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

resultNo
23 comments
102 forecasters

Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023?

resultNo
6 comments
44 forecasters

What percentage of monkeypox cases in the UK will be among gay, bisexual, or men who have sex with men?

community
96
result
Ambiguous
2 comments
4 forecasters

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

00
49 comments
76 forecasters

Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?

resultNo
9 comments
45 forecasters

Before 2023, will the US CDC recommend the general use of the monkeypox vaccine for all men who have sex with men in the US?

resultNo
41 comments
143 forecasters

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

resultYes