Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before July 2027?7% chance177 comments1616 forecasters7%chance
How many Clade I Mpox cases will have been reported in the US before 2027?>100 cases (90 - >100)1717 comments1717 forecasters>100 cases (90 - >100)
Will a novel human-infectious pandemic originate in these countries before 2100?11 comment33 forecasters
Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before 2027?5% chance11111 comments6464 forecasters5%chance
How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?272 (186 - 432)162727 comments8686 forecastersResolved282
What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?125757 comments4545 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?25% chance342727 comments231231 forecasters25%chance
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026? → Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?77 comments2525 forecasters
Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?result: no51212 comments4848 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the CDC confirm a case of Marburg virus disease in a US resident before January 1, 2025?result: no6363 comments3131 forecastersResolvedNo
Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?2121 comments1919 forecasters
What will be CDC's highest assessment of the risk posed by mpox to the US general public before January 1, 2025?133 comments1717 forecasters
Countries confirm Clade I mpox? (United States) → HHS mpox public health emergency--Oct 1 2024?20 comments1212 forecasters
Will Russia confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?result: no5151 comments3131 forecastersResolvedNo
Will Japan confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?result: no5656 comments3131 forecastersResolvedNo
Will Mexico confirm Clade I mpox infections before October 1, 2024?result: no5757 comments3232 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the CDC's assessment of the risk posed by mpox to the US general public exceed "Low" before October 1, 2024?result: no5151 comments2828 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the CDC's assessment of the risk posed by mpox to the US general public exceed "Moderate" before October 1, 2024?result: no5151 comments2929 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the CDC's assessment of the risk posed by mpox to the US general public exceed "High" before October 1, 2024?result: no6767 comments2929 forecastersResolvedNo