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condition
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
24
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
7%
7%
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
0%
0%
7
7
comments
24
24
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
condition
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
21
forecasters
if yes
if no
If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
0.61
If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
0.942
10
10
comments
21
21
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
36
comments
182
forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
2%
chance
12
comments
48
forecasters
Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?
result
No
23
comments
102
forecasters
Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023?
result
No
6
comments
44
forecasters
What percentage of monkeypox cases in the UK will be among gay, bisexual, or men who have sex with men?
community
96
result
Ambiguous
2
comments
4
forecasters
When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?
00
49
comments
76
forecasters
Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?
result
No
9
comments
45
forecasters
Before 2023, will the US CDC recommend the general use of the monkeypox vaccine for all men who have sex with men in the US?
result
No
41
comments
143
forecasters
Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?
result
Yes
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