Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before 2027?10% chance11111 comments6363 forecasters10%chance
How many Clade I Mpox cases will have been reported in the US before 2027?39 cases (32 - 50)1313 comments1515 forecasters39 cases (32 - 50)
Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before 2027?9.5% chance-166 comments9494 forecastersAnnulled
Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?result: yes274141 comments143143 forecastersResolvedYes
Will the CDC confirm a case of Marburg virus disease in a US resident before January 1, 2025?result: no6363 comments3131 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023?result: no172323 comments102102 forecastersResolvedNo
What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022?376 (322 - 440)132121 comments6969 forecastersResolved395
Will WHO Disease Outbreak News publish a new mpox-related item before May 1, 2026?result: no108108 comments109109 forecastersResolvedNo
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026? → Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?77 comments2525 forecasters
What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022?4419 (3821 - 5202)142626 comments7474 forecastersResolved4867
How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?Ambiguous377979 comments218218 forecastersAmbiguous
How many infections of novel Henipavirus will have occurred before 2023?Annulled1133 comments1515 forecastersAnnulled
What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in New York as of August 31, 2022?3404 (3271 - 3592)444 comments3333 forecastersResolved3310
What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022?19.3k (18.3k - 20.5k)122626 comments7272 forecastersResolved18.989k
What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?125757 comments4545 forecasters
Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?result: no94949 comments7676 forecastersResolvedNo
How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022?28.1 (27 - 29.5)142626 comments9090 forecastersResolved29
Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?result: no322 comments6666 forecastersResolvedNo
Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new airborne pathogen?result: no911 comment7676 forecastersResolvedNo
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?22.8% chance332727 comments228228 forecasters22.8%chance