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10
comments
6
forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
2
comments
60
forecasters
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
40%
chance
19%
this week
9
comments
29
forecasters
When will the next Public Health Emergency of International Concern be declared by the WHO?
community
04 Oct 2022
result
23 Jul 2022 10:11
23
comments
90
forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Current estimate
77.8 cases
36
comments
224
forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
2%
chance
condition
Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?
Resolved:
No
17
forecasters
if yes
if no
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
124
Resolved:
Annulled
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
144
13
13
comments
17
17
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
condition
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
24
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
13%
13%
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
0%
0%
7
7
comments
24
24
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
113
comments
589
forecasters
Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?
result
No
4
comments
83
forecasters
Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?
result
No
34
comments
301
forecasters
Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?
5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
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