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10 comments
6 forecasters

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
2 comments
60 forecasters

Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?

40%chance
19% this week
9 comments
29 forecasters

When will the next Public Health Emergency of International Concern be declared by the WHO?

community
04 Oct 2022
result
23 Jul 2022 10:11
23 comments
90 forecasters

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Current estimate
77.8 cases
36 comments
224 forecasters

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

2%chance
condition

Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?

Resolved:No
17 forecasters
if yes
if no

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

124
Resolved:Annulled

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

144
1313 comments
17
17 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

13%
13%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
113 comments
589 forecasters

Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

resultNo
4 comments
83 forecasters

Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?

resultNo
34 comments
301 forecasters

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.