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Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
14 comments
18 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.5
Flu9.76
COVID-193.65
17 comments
19 forecasters

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

00
36 comments
182 forecasters

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

1%chance
99 comments
59 forecasters

How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?

21 to 100result: Yes
More than 1000.7%
00.1%
70 comments
118 forecasters

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

resultNo
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

7%
7%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
45 comments
30 forecasters

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before Sept 30, 2024?

resultNo
23 comments
50 forecasters

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Current estimate
77.4 cases
14 comments
34 forecasters

How many additional H5N1 infections will be reported in wild birds across the United States by the end of March 2023?

community
159
result
141