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US Democracy Index

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Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

15%chance

10 comments

17 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.48

Flu9.78

COVID-194.09

13 comments

18 forecasters

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

41 comments

143 forecasters

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

resultYes

21 comments

19 forecasters

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

United Kingdomresult: Yes

United Statesresult: Yes

Zambiaresult: Yes

9 comments

29 forecasters

When will the next Public Health Emergency of International Concern be declared by the WHO?

community

04 Oct 2022

result

23 Jul 2022 10:11

79 comments

218 forecasters

How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

community

104k

result

Ambiguous

6 comments

44 forecasters

What percentage of monkeypox cases in the UK will be among gay, bisexual, or men who have sex with men?

community

result

Ambiguous

26 comments

74 forecasters

What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022?

community

4419

result

4867

7 comments

52 forecasters

What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Canada as of July 1, 2022?

community

310

result

294