Respiratory Outlook July Update: Screwworm continues US spread as Ebola outbreak surges in DRC40 comments
Will a novel human-infectious pandemic originate in these countries before 2100?11 comment33 forecasters
Will WHO declare hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2027?0.1% chance52020 comments107107 forecasters0.1%chance
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?result: yes434949 comments238238 forecastersResolvedYes
Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?result: no58113113 comments589589 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?50% chance1322 comments9595 forecasters50%chance
Will there be any human cases of the novel coronavirus, HKU5-CoV-2, before July 1, 2025?result: no8787 comments7878 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the undiagnosed disease currently spreading in the Democratic Republic of the Congo be identified as Influenza, RSV, or COVID-19 before January 7, 2025?result: no71212 comments5353 forecastersResolvedNo
What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?833 comments6060 forecasters