Will a novel human-infectious pandemic originate in these countries before 2100?11 comment33 forecasters
Will WHO declare hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2027?0.1% chance52020 comments119119 forecasters0.1%chance
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?result: yes434949 comments238238 forecastersResolvedYes
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?25% chance342727 comments231231 forecasters25%chance
Will there be any human cases of the novel coronavirus, HKU5-CoV-2, before July 1, 2025?result: no8787 comments7878 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the undiagnosed disease currently spreading in the Democratic Republic of the Congo be identified as Influenza, RSV, or COVID-19 before January 7, 2025?result: no71212 comments5353 forecastersResolvedNo
How many variants of concern will be monitored by the US CDC as of 4 April?3.11 (3 - 4.02)755 comments3535 forecastersResolved5
Will the undiagnosed disease currently spreading in the Democratic Republic of the Congo be identified as Influenza before January 7, 2025?17.8% chance5858 comments3030 forecastersAmbiguous