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17 comments
19 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.52
Flu9.66
COVID-193.53

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

7%
7%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
condition

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

21 forecasters
if yes
if no

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.614

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.951
1010 comments
21
21 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
2 comments
68 forecasters

Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?

31%chance
3 comments
15 forecasters

How many infections of novel Henipavirus will have occurred before 2023?

community
104
result
Annulled
26 comments
13 forecasters

What will be the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks?

12 comments
112 forecasters

Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?

resultNo
4 comments
83 forecasters

Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?

resultNo
34 comments
301 forecasters

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.