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Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 4 days

9 comments

29 forecasters

When will the next Public Health Emergency of International Concern be declared by the WHO?

community

04 Oct 2022

result

23 Jul 2022 10:11

2 comments

60 forecasters

Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?

45%chance

14% this week

41 comments

143 forecasters

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

resultYes

9 comments

39 forecasters

Will the CDC confirm a case of Clade I mpox in a US resident before August 23, 2024?

resultNo

55 comments

32 forecasters

Will the CDC confirm a case of Clade I mpox in a US resident before August 23, 2024?

resultNo

21 comments

19 forecasters

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

United Kingdomresult: Yes

United Statesresult: Yes

Zambiaresult: Yes

79 comments

218 forecasters

How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

community

104k

result

Ambiguous

23 comments

86 forecasters

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Current estimate

77.8 cases

condition

Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

124

Resolved:Annulled

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

144

13 13 comments

17 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25