• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
23 comments
81 forecasters

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

1%chance
1.8% this week
8 comments
39 forecasters

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

Current estimate
76.4k deaths
41 comments
143 forecasters

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

resultYes
4 comments
21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance
condition

Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?

Resolved:No
17 forecasters
if yes
if no

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

124
Resolved:Annulled

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

144
1313 comments
17
17 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
condition

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

21 forecasters
if yes
if no

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.646

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.957
1010 comments
21
21 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
23 comments
52 forecasters

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Current estimate
84.2 cases
13 comments
55 forecasters

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

Current estimate
111k deaths/year
21 comments
19 forecasters

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

United Kingdomresult: Yes
United Statesresult: Yes
Zambiaresult: Yes

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2025/26

0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26