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23
comments
81
forecasters
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
1%
chance
1.8%
this week
8
comments
39
forecasters
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
Current estimate
76.4k deaths
41
comments
143
forecasters
Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?
result
Yes
4
comments
21
forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%
chance
condition
Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?
Resolved:
No
17
forecasters
if yes
if no
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
124
Resolved:
Annulled
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
144
13
13
comments
17
17
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
condition
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
21
forecasters
if yes
if no
If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
0.646
If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
0.957
10
10
comments
21
21
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
23
comments
52
forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Current estimate
84.2 cases
13
comments
55
forecasters
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
Current estimate
111k deaths/year
21
comments
19
forecasters
Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?
United Kingdom
result:
Yes
United States
result:
Yes
Zambia
result:
Yes
12 others
Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2025/26
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
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