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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
4 comments
15 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.59
Flu10
COVID-194.13
31 comments
18 forecasters

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season?

00
condition

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

21 forecasters
if yes
if no

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.646

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.957
1010 comments
21
21 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2025/26

0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
8 comments
14 forecasters

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

00
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

13%
13%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
87 comments
78 forecasters

Will there be any human cases of the novel coronavirus, HKU5-CoV-2, before July 1, 2025?

resultNo
34 comments
301 forecasters

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2024/25

7
44 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
27 comments
225 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance