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What will be the maximum weekly new hospital admissions per 100,000 for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2026/27 season?

1

9

9 forecasters

Global Health Monitor update August 2026

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

1% chance

2

25

25 forecasters

1%chance

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2030?

18% chance

1

20

20 forecasters

18%chance

Will a novel human-infectious pandemic originate in these countries before 2100?

3

3 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

25% chance

34

231

231 forecasters

25%chance

In the InfoGripe bulletin published on or immediately before June 25, 2026, which respiratory virus will be the single most prevalent among positive SRAG cases nationally over the most recent 4-week window?

87

87 forecasters

Announcing the Global Health Monitor 2026/27

4

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2040?

60% chance

6

6 forecasters

60%chance

Will WHO declare hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2027?

0.1% chance

5

117

117 forecasters

0.1%chance

Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?

result: yes

43

238

238 forecasters

ResolvedYes

Will the Czech Republic be affected by a disease with an annual incidence of more than 6,000 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the given years?

18

18 forecasters

Respiratory Outlook July Update: Screwworm continues US spread as Ebola outbreak surges in DRC

4

Will the WHO announce a H5N1 pandemic before 2030?

22% chance

1

14

14 forecasters

22%chance

Will there be any human cases of the novel coronavirus, HKU5-CoV-2, before July 1, 2025?

result: no

78

78 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will the undiagnosed disease currently spreading in the Democratic Republic of the Congo be identified as Influenza, RSV, or COVID-19 before January 7, 2025?

result: no

7

53

53 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025? → New PHEIC in 2024?

2

14

14 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

17

17 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

-1

15

15 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

12

12 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

14

14 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

14

14 forecasters