36 comments
182 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
2%chance
8 comments
30 forecasters
Will at least one mink farm worker die from any strain of bird flu in 2023?
resultNo
2 comments
66 forecasters
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
37%chance
113 comments
589 forecasters
Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?
resultNo
9 comments
18 forecasters
How many named variants of SARS-COV-2 in its first 10 years?
Current estimate
18 variants