2 comments
68 forecasters
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
31%chance
6% this week
36 comments
182 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
1%chance
1% this week
113 comments
589 forecasters
Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?
resultNo
8 comments
30 forecasters
Will at least one mink farm worker die from any strain of bird flu in 2023?
resultNo
87 comments
78 forecasters
Will there be any human cases of the novel coronavirus, HKU5-CoV-2, before July 1, 2025?
resultNo
44 comments
164 forecasters
Before 2020-05-17, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?
resultNo