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condition

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

21 forecasters
if yes
if no

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.646

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

0.957
1010 comments
21
21 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2025/26

0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

13%
13%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
87 comments
78 forecasters

Will there be any human cases of the novel coronavirus, HKU5-CoV-2, before July 1, 2025?

resultNo
2 comments
54 forecasters

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

65%chance
3 comments
59 forecasters

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2024/25

7
44 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
52 comments
29 forecasters

Will the undiagnosed disease currently spreading in the Democratic Republic of the Congo be identified as COVID-19 before January 7, 2025?

Ambiguous
8 comments
30 forecasters

Will at least one mink farm worker die from any strain of bird flu in 2023?

resultNo
34 comments
301 forecasters

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.