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10
comments
6
forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
2
comments
60
forecasters
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
40%
chance
19%
this week
36
comments
224
forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
2%
chance
condition
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
24
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
13%
13%
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
0%
0%
7
7
comments
24
24
forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
113
comments
589
forecasters
Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?
result
No
4
comments
83
forecasters
Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?
result
No
34
comments
301
forecasters
Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?
5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
3
comments
15
forecasters
How many infections of novel Henipavirus will have occurred before 2023?
community
104
result
Annulled
27
comments
225
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
22.8%
chance
12
comments
51
forecasters
How many pigs will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?
community
848k
result
231k
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