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Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2025/26

0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
condition

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

24 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

13%
13%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

0%
0%
77 comments
24
24 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
3 comments
59 forecasters

What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?

Sharpen the Respiratory Outlook for 2024/25

7
44 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
5 comments
35 forecasters

How many variants of concern will be monitored by the US CDC as of 4 April?

community
3.11
result
5
27 comments
225 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance
5 comments
152 forecasters

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Orthomyxoviridae58%
Other 24 known HIVF25%
Coronaviridae15%

This question is closed for forecasting.

4 comments
131 forecasters

Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?

resultNo
12 comments
112 forecasters

Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?

resultNo
46 comments
238 forecasters

Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.