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3
comments
20
forecasters
When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?
Current estimate
17 Jul 2030
5
comments
10
forecasters
How many months in prison will Avraham Eisenberg be sentenced to before 2030?
Current estimate
72.7 months
4
comments
21
forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%
chance
24
comments
91
forecasters
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
82%
chance
1
comment
4
forecasters
When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?
Current estimate
Aug 2036
1
comment
9
forecasters
Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?
50%
chance
14
comments
66
forecasters
Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
40%
chance
6
comments
118
forecasters
Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?
result
No
4
comments
3
forecasters
How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?
Current estimate
4.63 CRT
1
comment
45
forecasters
New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?
result
No
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