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3
comments
20
forecasters
When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?
Current estimate
17 Jul 2030
1
comment
4
forecasters
When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?
Current estimate
Mar 2035
1
comment
9
forecasters
Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?
50%
chance
5
comments
4
forecasters
How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?
Current estimate
1.94 CRT
6
comments
118
forecasters
Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?
result
No
14
comments
66
forecasters
Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
40%
chance
27
comments
95
forecasters
When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?
Current estimate
Dec 2030
24
comments
91
forecasters
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
85%
chance
9
comments
50
forecasters
Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?
result
Yes
1
comment
45
forecasters
New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?
result
No
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