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1
comment
45
forecasters
New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?
result
No
1
comment
9
forecasters
Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?
50%
chance
4
comments
21
forecasters
Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?
61.8%
chance
5
comments
4
forecasters
How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?
Current estimate
1.94 CRT
1
comment
4
forecasters
When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?
Current estimate
Mar 2035
27
comments
95
forecasters
When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?
Current estimate
Dec 2030
14
comments
65
forecasters
Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
40%
chance
2
comments
33
forecasters
Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2031?
60%
chance
24
comments
91
forecasters
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
85%
chance
24
comments
42
forecasters
Will Avraham Eisenberg be convicted of a felony in the United States before 2028?
result
Yes
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