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3 comments
20 forecasters

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Current estimate
17 Jul 2030
5 comments
10 forecasters

How many months in prison will Avraham Eisenberg be sentenced to before 2030?

Current estimate
72.7 months
4 comments
21 forecasters

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance
24 comments
91 forecasters

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

82%chance
1 comment
4 forecasters

When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?

Current estimate
Aug 2036
1 comment
9 forecasters

Will a universal allogeneic cell therapy platform receive FDA approval before 2035?

50%chance
14 comments
66 forecasters

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%chance
6 comments
118 forecasters

Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?

resultNo
4 comments
3 forecasters

How many cluster-randomized trials will be published before 2027 assessing whether far-UVC reduces transmission of airborne pathogens?

Current estimate
4.63 CRT
1 comment
45 forecasters

New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?

resultNo